Energy Trader Products and Services

Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER) provides a portfolio of targeted weather products and services spanning a broad range of industry needs. These packaged solutions enable each client organization to tap into AER expertise in the form and content that best address its unique requirements.

Weather forecast suite

AER’s scientifically advanced weather prediction products and services are the driving force behind smart business decisions in weather-sensitive industries.

eCast: 15-day ensemble forecast tool

An advanced 15-day ensemble weather forecast tool, eCast delivers more than 41,000 medium-range weather forecasts per city per day, providing clear indicators of forecast mean and statistical spread. Clients get clear, concise and accurate weather forecasts in a web-based format with easy-to-understand tables, plots and charts – all delivered seamlessly and efficiently via email or a web-based interface that feeds directly into decision support tools.

mCast: Month-ahead Forecast (1-to-3-month-long range forecasts)

AER’s mCast is a comprehensive set of long-range weather forecasts that incorporate proprietary modeling techniques to deliver actionable forecasts of temperature, heating and cooling degree days, and precipitation for key regions in the U.S., Europe and Asia. Forecasting out 30 to 90 days, mCast long-range weather forecasts are based on advanced science and deliver proven results.

sCast: Seasonal Forecast and Sub-Seasonal Forecast (3-6-month)

AER’s Seasonal Forecast, sCast is the most skilled and comprehensive seasonal forecasting service – with the best results – in the industry.

It leverages proprietary long-range weather modeling techniques to deliver highly skilled regional heating and cooling degree day forecasts that are population-weighted for electricity, gas and oil. It also provides extensive temperature and precipitation information in both tabular and map formats, so forecasts are easy to understand.

Unlike other seasonal weather forecasts, sCast uses a unique initialization scheme that combines El Niño and warming trends, as well as snow cover in remote parts of the world, to predict overall global trends. Seasonal hindcasting using more than 30 years of data has validated the accuracy of the AER Seasonal Forecast in predicting temperature direction.

Hurricane forecasting and analysis

AER’s weather experts provide seasonal and storm-specific forecasts and analytics, enabling clients to mitigate risk by knowing event location, timing and severity before and after severe weather occurs.

AER Respond Hurricane Analysis and Forecast Service

AER Respond(TM) Hurricane Analysis and Forecast Service provides a comprehensive scientific viewpoint during the storm event. AER scientists achieve this through combining deep expertise in numerical weather modeling, data integration, and downscaling.

hCast-SR: Short-range hurricane track forecasts

AER’s hCast-SR is a cutting-edge, five-day hurricane track and intensity forecast service for trading hurricane futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and monitoring hurricane impacts on energy assets in the Gulf of Mexico. AER hurricane forecasters provide traders with a highly innovative decision support tool that weighs, processes and statistically interprets hurricane forecast information from seven worldwide hurricane modeling centers. hCast-SR combines AER’s unique ensemble weather modeling capabilities with more than 25 years of hurricane prediction skill, resulting in a truly superior outlook of hurricanes approaching landfall.

hCast-LR: Long-range hurricane consulting service

hCast-LR is an unbiased, highly regarded, long-range hurricane consulting and forecasting service that provides in-depth expert analysis on the predictive skill of leading global outlets of hurricane forecasts. Designed specifically for anyone involved in the purchase or sale of weather-sensitive securities, hCast-LR is an invaluable tool for making critical buy/sell decisions during hurricane season.