AER's FireLine™ team analyzed California wildfire risk for the IINC study published today. AER scientists applied advanced remote sensing technology to evaluate wildfire risk at the property address level.
Seasonal forecasts from statistical models still greatly outperform those from dynamical models such as those used at AER
A precipitous decline in weather satellites poses challenges for weather risk managers.
"Amazon’s loss of power last month was minimal compared with what could happen if the U.S. grid is severely hit by solar storms. What can companies do to prepare?" --CFO
"Judah L. Cohen and his coauthors...research suggests that temperatures have continued to rise in many parts of the world during some parts of the year, even as the global average has barely budged."
Scientists using satellite data to investigate greenness dynamics should take more care to filter out all corrupt data before drawing any conclusions, according to researchers in the US.
"Atmospheric and Environmental Research also factored dry soil into its forecast, said AER’s Judah Cohen, who bucked conventional wisdom and forecast a mild winter of 2011-12. He’s going his own way again, calling for a warmer-than-normal summer in much of the nation, including the Northeast corridor."
Peak of sun's magnetic activity expected early next year
Dry Conditions, Soil Moisture Into Late Spring Affect the Forecast
Scientists Develop Way to Enforce Future Greenhouse Gas Treaty
Verisk Review recently spoke with Kyle Beatty, about the impact of space weather events, the financial consequences to insurers, and how insurers can manage and evaluate their exposure.
"Cohen et al. ... they show that warming has continued apace and that the seeming slowdown in the upward march of global annual average temperatures is a reflection of marked seasonal differences: Only in the winter has it not gotten warmer."
"Cohen's research is cutting edge and could bring important improvements to forecasting climate and weather over North America and Europe," says Patzert. "Cohen and others are on the threshold of understanding of how climate change affects the behavior of the Arctic Oscillation."--NASA climatologist Bill Patzert of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory
"I do think our weather and Europe's weather are tied together," he [Dr. Judah Cohen] said.
"Three cold European winters on the trot, and a faltering in the long term rise in global average temperatures - signs for some that something is wrong with climate science. Not so for forecaster Judah Cohen." --BBC Radio 4