Seasonal Forecasts Highlighted by National Science Foundation

Lexington, MA February 7, 2005 — Climate research, jointly undertaken by leading scientists at Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc. (AER) and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), is featured this week in a National Science Foundation (NSF) special report entitled "Autumn Forecasts Winter Weather". This research, along with ten other projects funded by NSF, is highlighted on the new "Special Reports" section of the NSF web site.

"AER is very proud to have the research efforts of our key scientists recognized in this way," stated Cecilia Sze, President and CEO of AER. "This work has been on-going since the late 90's and has been instrumental in providing our customers with the best seasonal forecasts available today."

This focused climate dynamics research resulted in a proven forecast model that became the basis for AER's "sCast™ Report", a comprehensive forecast targeted for the Financial and Energy Markets. sCast™ provides monthly and seasonal forecasts, that have proven to be almost 40% better than climatology in key cities and are available before other government and commercial offerings. Separate editions of the report cover the US, Europe and Asia, providing temperature and precipitation forecasts by region and for key cities. Monthly forecasts of Heating Degree Days, Cooling Degree Days and departure from normal climatology are included for these cities on all three continents.

sCast™ is based on a unique combination of initialization schemes as inputs to its climate model, including El Niño, global warming trends, snow cover in remote regions of the world, as well as the North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillation patterns. The final forecast is produced after thorough analysis by seasoned professional forecasters led by Dr. Judah Cohen using techniques developed by Dr. Cohen over the last decade. Published monthly, the report is available through AER and easily downloadable from AER's newly designed web site.

About AER:

Founded in 1977, Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc. is an award-winning environmental research and consulting company with demonstrated expertise in numerical weather prediction, remote sensing, satellite meteorology, climate dynamics and radiation, circulation diagnostics, atmospheric chemistry, air quality and risk assessment, planetary sciences, and systems engineering. In addition to its Lexington, MA headquarters, AER has offices in Omaha, NE; and San Francisco, CA. For more information visit our web site at


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